Thursday, June 18, 2009

Security Apparatus versus Pasdaran

I am not so much into conspiracy theories but the mass movement in Iran appears to be a revolt led by regime's intelligentsia, of course with active participation by large segments of the population. I cannot imagine such large scale operation and the organization behind could have taken place without tacit consent of key elements within regime's security apparatus and propaganda machine. The movement has obvious support among key clerics and the new class of technocrats whose father figure (or godfather if you will) is Rafsanjani. Whoever not already on-board the steamroller will be flattened. There was a time Khamanei could have jumped on-board but he decided not to. There is no reason why the steamroller should stop now for Khamanei. The movement has obviously targeted the power seeking Pasdaran elements without whom Khamanei is a nobody anyways. Each passing day he is proving to be less and less relevant.

The regime has been worried about a "velvet revolution" in Iran for several years. These worries were apparently not totally baseless.