Saturday, January 28, 2006

Crisis Alert

The new regime in Tehran (symbolized by Ahmadinejad's presidency) has its base in a generational (mini) wave that gained its experience during the Iran-Iraq war. It is a mini-wave because the represented time span is rather small in demographic scales. The revolution’s first generation represented by Rafsanjani, Khamenei, and many exile figures are on the way out. As such I doubt the traditional leaders of IRI (e.g. Rafsanjani) despite their wealth and influence can pose any serious challenge to the new rulers as asserted by Michael McFaul and Abbas Milani in Washington Post.

By Count Down.